Sunday, February 7, 2016

Ukrainian Ex-Premier’s Visit to Washington Highlights Obstacles Facing Peace Pact


WASHINGTON — Yulia V. Tymoshenko, a former prime minister ofUkraine who now leads a minority party in Parliament, said on Friday that she and her allies would staunchly oppose constitutional changes that the United States and European powers view as crucial to carrying out a peace agreement with Russia.

Her remarks underscored the enormous obstacles still facing the nearly year-old peace accord, known as Minsk II. A shaky cease-fire has sharply reduced the bloodshed in eastern Ukraine, where pro-Russian rebels launched a separatist insurgency in 2014, but the accord has never been enacted, largely because of acute disagreements over how voting in the region would be organized.


Ms. Tymoshenko’s comments, though not new, were particularly notable given that she made them in Washington. The United States has been one of the new Ukrainian government’s strongest allies and one of its main supporters in securing help to prevent an economic collapse, including billions in credit from the International Monetary Fund.

Wrapping up a weeklong visit in which she met with top administration officials and members of Congress, Ms. Tymoshenko, 55, also said that she would push for early parliamentary elections — “the sooner, the better” — which are opposed by the United States because the parties of President Petro O. Poroshenko and Prime Minister Arseniy P. Yatsenyuk are virtually certain to lose seats.

The two men are considered allies of the West. But both have been dogged by criticism that they have failed to sufficiently root out endemic corruption. This week, Ukraine’s economy minister, Aivaras Abromavicius, abruptly quit his post, saying, “It has become clear that any kind of systemic reform is decisively blocked.”

The continuing corruption and the failure to carry out the Minsk accord have prompted some frustration among American and European officials. Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. met with Mr. Poroshenko for four hours on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, last month and was said to have pressed the Ukrainian leader on both fronts.

In an interview in her hotel suite at the Willard InterContinental, near the White House, Ms. Tymoshenko said that the Minsk agreement was flawed because it combined political and military issues, and that Ukraine could not move forward with regional elections until it had greater assurances regarding its security, including control of the border with Russia.

She said that early parliamentary elections were needed to build public legitimacy and to “reboot” the government before the constitutional changes — which would grant greater autonomy to the disputed eastern regions — could win approval. But only Mr. Poroshenko can call early elections, and both he and Ukraine’s Western allies oppose the idea.

In a bid to push the peace deal forward, Victoria J. Nuland, an assistant secretary of state, met last month with Vladislav Surkov, a senior adviser to President Vladimir V. Putin, in the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad. The accord will also be a main topic of discussion next week at the annual Munich Security Conference, where Mr. Poroshenko is expected to come under heavy pressure from American and European officials to move ahead with the constitutional changes, as a precursor to elections in eastern Ukraine.

But Ms. Tymoshenko said that Ukraine’s Western allies appeared to be putting their own political interests first.

“Both the European Union and the United States are facing their own complicated political concerns,” she said, noting the United States presidential election and refugee crisis in Europe. “The United States and the European Union want to end the Ukrainian problem at any cost, as fast as possible,” she said.

Ms. Tymoshenko spent 28 months in prison as the nemesis of former President Viktor F. Yanukovych, who was ousted in the Maidan revolution two years ago. She was released in February 2014, a day after Mr. Yanukovych fled Kiev, the capital.

She is hardly uncontroversial. Although her jailing was viewed as political, voters were clearly wary of her after she emerged from prison, and she and her party have struggled because of their association with past Ukrainian administrations notorious for entrenched corruption and pervasive mismanagement.

Ms. Tymoshenko is widely known to harbor continuing national political ambitions. Her opposition to the constitutional changes and her push for early elections undoubtedly reflect a move to capitalize on the falling popularity and perceived political weakness of Mr. Poroshenko and Mr. Yatsenyuk.

The minority faction that her party, Fatherland, controls in Parliament does not by itself have enough votes to block the constitutional changes. But the changes, which can be approved only by a supermajority of 300 out of 450 votes, are also opposed by another influential minority party, Self-Reliance, and by numerous other lawmakers.

Ms. Tymoshenko said that pushing too quickly to carry out the accord could allow Russia to retain the ability to destabilize Ukraine politically at Mr. Putin’s whim.

“It seems to me a fundamental mistake to try to end the Ukrainian conflict at any price,” she said.




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