The United States and Russia are now proposing to drop food and other emergency aid from the air if President Bashar al-Assad of Syria does not allow
trucks to deliver supplies to his besieged cities. Airdrops are a risky and
desperate move — costly, hard to deliver accurately and, if poorly targeted, a
threat to kill or injure the people they are supposed to help.
On the surface the move seems a humanitarian gesture
from two nations that are supposedly partners in ending Syria’s bloody civil
war. What it really does is highlight, once again, the duplicity of President Vladimir Putin of Russia, in Syria
and elsewhere. Mr. Assad remains in power largely because of Russian military
assistance. It is hard to believe that Mr. Putin, who fancies himself a man who
can get what he wants, could not persuade Mr. Assad to let aid get through to
the cities if he chose to try.
While promising Secretary of State John Kerry that he
would work with America to end the war that has reportedly killed up to 470,000
people, Mr. Putin has been unable or unwilling to stop Mr. Assad from shelling
civilians and, according to reports, is continuing Russian airstrikes as well.
A temporary cease-fire that raised hopes for a more durable peace has now
largely collapsed, talks between the Assad government and opposition forces
have broken down and plans to begin a negotiated political transition to a more
inclusive government by Aug. 1 seem ever more remote.
Syria is just one arena where Mr. Putin’s obsessive
quest to make Russia great again has fueled instability and reawakened
political suspicions and animosities that faded after the fall of the Soviet
Union.
A year after invading Ukraine and annexing Crimea in 2014, Russia
signed an agreement in Minsk that was supposed to end the fighting. It is now
violating that agreement; violence between Ukrainian and Russian-backed
separatist forces has reached its highest level since a 2015 cease-fire.
Russia is also engaging
in aggressive and dangerous behavior in the air and on the high seas. Last
week, British fighter jets intercepted three Russian
military transport aircraft approaching the Baltic States. On April 29, a
Russian warplane came within 100 feet of an American fighter jet over the
Baltic Sea and did a barrel roll over the jet, which could have been
catastrophic. Two weeks earlier, two Russian warplanes flew 11 simulated attack passes near an
American destroyer in the Baltic.
All this risks direct confrontation with the United
States. American military forces have gone out of their way to exercise
restraint, but decisions on whether oncoming planes are a threat are made in an
instant, and restraint cannot be assumed.
Anxieties about Russia among NATOmembers in Eastern Europe had forced the alliance to
make plans to deploy four combat
battalions of roughly 1,000 troops each in Poland, Lithuania,
Latvia and Estonia. Two battalions will be American, one German and one British.
They aren’t enough to repulse a Russian invasion, but NATO hopes they will
deter Moscow from crossing alliance borders. NATO is also proceeding with a
European missile defense system intended to protect against Iranian missiles.
Last week, a base in Romania became operational and ground was broken for a
base in Poland. More and bigger military exercises are also on the agenda.
Mr. Putin has long misread NATO, which was
significantly demilitarized after the Cold War, as a threat. His more assertive
behavior may produce exactly the reinvigorated alliance he feared, one that is
much more serious about military spending despite problems with economic
growth, Syrian refugees and political dysfunction.
NATO’s 28 members will meet in Warsaw in July, a good time
to reassert resolve. In June, sanctions imposed on Russia over its invasion of
Ukraine will expire, and will need to be renewed, though NATO members would be
wise to keep channels for dialogue with Russia open as well. Mr. Putin would
have greatly improved his chances of regaining the international standing he
craves had he diversified his country’s economy and worked constructively with
the West.
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