Thursday, May 19, 2016

Cybercrime and Security – 2

BY  

Cybersecurity. If the pen is more powerful than the sword, what does that make a computer? My last post insinuated that the entire Internet is compromised. This follows the frequency and severity of wide ranging security breaches with Stratfor and Ashley Madison to the Pentagon and the White House, say nothing of the spam, phishing, DDOS attacks and other threats of concern to 3.5 billion Internet users.

There are over 200 countries and territories with different laws and levels of enforcement for 7+ billion people using billions and billions of digital devices, most accessible via the One and Only Internet.

The single greatest security consolation is that the vast majority of threats originate with less than .1% of computer users. Contending with a loosely estimated 3.2 – 3.5 million “hackers” is no small task – especially considering their reach via bots. But, further consolation is derived in that most (90%) are part-time amateurs, not necessarily criminals, interested in terrorism or starting wars. Nevertheless:

§  Online crime is estimated at .8% of world GDP.
§  30,000 web sites are hacked every day.
§  Botnets are infecting 18 computers every second.
§  The US Government incurred over 61,000 known security breaches in 2014.
§  Breach of the Office of Personnel Management exposed data of 14 million government employees.
§  Verizon, a US Telco, had over 600 breaches in 2012 in addition to 47,000 security incidents.

Hackers have taken down a power grid in Ukraine on at least one occasion, and it is known that there are similar vulnerabilities… probably everywhere.

When states are cooperative, enforcement can be effective – in 2013, the FBI in conjunction with law enforcement in 19 countries, including Moldova, apprehended 90 hackers. For the most part, cybersecurity depends upon a seemingly non-centralized collection of intelligence agencies, law enforcement agencies and software/network security companies. Their combined effectiveness is offset by the sheer volume of cybercrime activity – and that a single threat can and frequently has had an impact on millions of people.

But, the largest problem concerns professional Black Hats who live in nations where enforcement is lax or the cybercrime activity itself is directly or indirectly sponsored by the state. Proving it is often difficult for a variety of reasons particularly when a state does not cooperate with investigations. Functionally, there is no ultimate authority much less an organization of any sort with the power to neutralize a cyberthreat in an uncooperative state.

The initial point of this topic concerned defining the threshold for when cybercrime becomes an act of terrorism or an act of war. Many components of the Internet are difficult to define in distinct terms, making it essential to clearly define that which can be – first to define this threshold, and then to have any capacity to pre-emptively act against it.

Contrasting ideas as citizenship, state, power, authority, rule of law and how these matters have been handled in relation to religion might prove useful for a better context for the Internet. Or not. Rule of Law is the basis for anything in civilized society and inherent to this is the notion of some combination of “power and authority” to maintain it. This calls upon Nikolai’s line of questioning whether it really is needed, how such an authority would be established, who decides it, who decides who decides, etc.?

Herein we have to take into consideration that theoretically any given person has the potential to do large-scale, potentially global, harm via the Internet.
And, as noted in my previous post, there are efforts to change how we define or redefine things long since established – such as citizenship. This (Biden’s recent comments with follow on commentary) is tangential to the present topic.

More importantly, it is absolutely necessary to consider efforts to redefine things as a trend and with the explicit purpose of setting precedents to enable further changes to the way things are defined (and how we think). Contextually, if we can be made to question which bathroom to use why not question our citizenship?

Pursue that line a few decades from now, and you may find the discussion turning in the direction of AI’s and Digital Ex-Humans and what their nationality is, whether they are entitled to overtime pay, vacations, social security, able to adopt children… If we are in any way concerned about the impact of technology today, more discussion is warranted about the technology of tomorrow.

Back to task, if we contemplate Rule of Law as applicable to the Internet, we necessarily must regard everyone who uses the Internet as subject to its laws. If not citizens, we are netizens. Different states having different laws coupled with each individual being able to interact via the Internet regardless of their physical location at any given time complicates matters unnecessarily, but getting comprehensive international recognition and support for a single Common Law for everyone who uses the Internet may be difficult. Free trade agreements are gradually pushing things in that direction though.

Defining the threshold at which point a cybercrime (or espionage/subterfuge) becomes an act of war, in the security community, is not entirely directed at preventing such, but for helping to define what they can do without really crossing the line. It doesn’t matter, as that is up to the “victim” to decide, for lack of a higher authority. The response could be unpredictable or disproportionate considering, for example, Russia’s threat to Nuke the Danish Navy

Most of us like, love, or maybe are addicted to the Internet as it is, despite the threats. It’s hard to imagine getting anyone, much less everyone, to agree upon a single, Common Law, much less an ultimate authority to enforce it. Note that would mean it having the means to shut off Internet access to entire nations should they prove unwilling to enforce the Common Law. One might question how long the government of a state would last if suddenly 95% of its Internet users no longer had Internet access.

If we move in the direction of discussing the Common Good, where the interests of many outweigh those of the few – we can argue that the Internet supersedes the interest of individual nations. It would not be a stretch to imagine that if accepted in those terms, the definition of a state/nation is likely to change. Sooner or later. Just as we may reach a point where we won’t have to bother going to the bathroom at all.


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