Maksym Rozumniy
When it comes to the need to agree on anything with Russia, one should
understand that Russia is ready to negotiate only one thing – Ukraine’s
surrender. It’s absolutely useless to talk with Russia about anything else
(withdrawal of armed forces from the territory of Ukraine, halting support for
Donbas militants, or, moreover, de-occupation of Crimea) because these issues
are not in Moscow’s interest.
Besides, the objective circumstances don’t encourage the Kremlin to any
of this. Russia has no will to make any concessions on their part. Moreover,
Moscow sincerely believes that it’s the opposite side who must go for
concessions.
Objective circumstances (economic situation, the well-being of citizens,
and sanctions, etc.) are not that serious of an argument, which could force
Russia to negotiate and implement the agreements. These circumstances start
working only when they lead to popular dissatisfaction with the authorities,
and, accordingly, their reduced legitimacy.
On the contrary, we are now witnessing the opposite tendency, when
economic problems in Russia (which, incidentally, are not that significant
because today, the products the Russians see no real problem with what they see
in grocery stores and in their wallets) only strengthen the position of Russian
authorities due to information and political context, however paradoxically for
any external observer.
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