Ben Torres for The New York Times
MOSCOW — Now that President-elect Donald J. Trump has chosen Rex W. Tillerson, the chief executive of Exxon Mobil, to be the next secretary of state, the giant oil company stands to
make some major gains as well: It has billions of dollars in deals that can go
forward only if the United States lifts sanctions against Russia.
As head of America’s largest oil company, Mr.
Tillerson has earned a friendship award from Russia and
voiced skepticism about American sanctions that have halted some of Exxon
Mobil’s biggest projects in the country.
But Mr. Tillerson’s stake in Russia’s energy industry could
create a very blurry line between his interests as an oilman and his role as
America’s leading diplomat.
“The chances that he will view Russia with Exxon Mobil
DNA are close to 100 percent,” said Robert Weissman, the president of Public
Citizen, a public interest group based in Washington.
A tall, strapping Texan, Mr. Tillerson guided Exxon’s
entry into the sharp-elbowed oil politics of Russia after the breakup of the
Soviet Union. He has praised the country for its vast potential as an oil
supplier ever since, developing close ties to the Kremlin leadership along the
way.
Exxon Mobil has various
projects afoot in Russia that are allowed under American sanctions. But others
have been ground to a halt by the sanctions, including a deal with the Russian state
oil company to explore and pump in Siberia that could be worth tens of billions
of dollars.
Russian officials have optimistically called the
agreement a $500 billion deal.
As for Mr. Tillerson personally, he was scheduled to
retire next year from Exxon Mobil. According to company filings this year, Mr.
Tillerson owned $218 million in company stock, and his pension plan was worth
nearly $70 million.
Russia was already a focus of concern after the
Central Intelligence Agency said the Kremlin had
intervened in the American presidential election to help Mr.
Trump’s candidacy. Now Mr. Tillerson’s career is igniting a debate over the
blending of business and politics — and whether that could tip the scales in
Russia’s favor on major policy decisions like the sanctions.
Speaking on Monday in Moscow, Carter Page, a supporter of Mr. Trump who described his former
work for the Trump campaign as pulling together “new ideas” on foreign policy,
said he was excited that Mr. Tillerson would probably put more of an emphasis
on private sector business opportunities in relations between Russia and the
United States.
“What makes me excited about new possibilities is the
chance to really work on new things to improve more from a business
standpoint,” Mr. Page said at a news conference.
Others were much warier of a Tillerson appointment.
“As secretary of state, he would be called upon to
negotiate with world leaders like Vladimir Putin,” said Michael T. Klare, a
professor at Hampshire College and the author of “The Race for What’s Left,”
which delves into the rush for oil in the thawing Arctic.
“In these negotiations, one has to wonder what would
influence the types of deals he is making,” Mr. Klare said. “Questions arise
over whether his actions would be benefiting his company or the interests of
the United States and its allies.”
Mr. Trump has called Mr. Tillerson a “player.” At an
annual meet-and-greet for corporate chieftains with President Vladimir V. Putin
at the St. Petersburg economic forum, Mr. Tillerson was a regular, his silver
coiffure bobbing in the crowd of former spies who have become Russian
government and corporate officials and now host the event.
Along with other
American chief executives, Mr. Tillerson skipped the forum in 2014 to conform
to White House pressure to isolate Russia, and Exxon Mobil executives insist
they obey the sanctions.
“We follow the law,” said Alan Jeffers, an Exxon Mobil
spokesman. “If a law says that a U.S. corporation is not allowed to participate
in activities in a particular jurisdiction, that’s what we do.”
The sanctions are intended to put economic pressure on
Russia for its lethal intervention in eastern Ukraine, with the aim of forcing
the Russian leadership to change course.
Still, Mr. Tillerson has made his criticism of the
American policy clear.
At Exxon’s 2014 annual meeting, Mr. Tillerson said:
“We do not support sanctions, generally, because we don’t find them to be
effective unless they are very well implemented comprehensibly, and that’s a
very hard thing to do. So we always encourage the people who are making those
decisions to consider the very broad collateral damage of who are they really
harming.”
Then, during a question-and-answer period at a Houston
conference in early 2015, Mr. Tillerson noted his company looked forward to the
sanctions’ being lifted.
“We’ll await a time in which the sanctions environment
changes or the sanctions requirements change,” he said of blocked Exxon Mobil
projects.
Mr. Tillerson’s approach in Russia tracks what Robert
Amsterdam, a lawyer for the Russian tycoon Mikhail B. Khodorkovsky, who had
been jailed, described as “the geopolitics of signaling” to the Kremlin, a
skill of survival and success for Western oil executives in Russia.
“Exxon has been willing to engage in practices that
make it a first-round contender for new Russian assets,” Mr. Amsterdam said.
“The way you do that is coming as close to the line as humanely possible to
support the Russians” without breaking the law.
Western sanctions were
first enacted on Russia in March 2014 in response to the Russian annexation of
Crimea. Then the United States and its allies, including the Netherlands,
implicated Russia in the shooting down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over eastern
Ukraine that July. All on board were killed, including 193 Dutch people heading
to Asia for vacations and work, flying for a just few moments over a war zone.
That prompted tighter sanctions. A month later,
Russian tanks entered eastern Ukraine, turning the tide against the forces of
the American-backed Ukrainian central government. Today, about 300 American
soldiers rotate through Ukraine as trainers.
After the Russian incursion in 2014, the United States
prohibited the transfer of advanced offshore and shale oil technology to
Russia. The American government announced on Sept. 12 that year that Exxon was
to halt all offshore drilling assistance to
Rosneft, the Russian state oil company, by Sept. 26.
But Exxon Mobil’s high-tech rig was already drilling
in the Kara Sea, in an unfinished $700 million project that had yet to find
oil. It would be worthless if not completed.
Russian executives then told Exxon Mobil that Russia’s
security services would fly in a Russian crew — in essence seize the rig — if
Exxon Mobil complied with the American law and left without completing the
well, according to an oil company executive who had visited the rig in the
Arctic.
Exxon relayed the threat to the American government,
and the Treasury Department capitulated, granting an extension that stretched
the window to work until Oct. 10. In a statement in 2014, the Russian state oil
company denied conveying such a threat to Mr. Tillerson’s company.
With the extension in hand, Exxon Mobil discovered a
major field with about 750 million barrels of new oil for Russia a few weeks
later. Igor I. Sechin, the chief executive of the Russian state oil company,
called the newly discovered oil field Pobeda — Russian for victory.
It is one of the Arctic developments that Exxon Mobil
has rights to work on should the sanctions be lifted.
No comments:
Post a Comment