Monday, November 21, 2016

The new Putin coalition

By          CYNTHIA KROET

The Kremlin scores political wins from France to Bulgaria to Trump.


Vladimir Putin, it used to be said not long ago, had no friends. His invasion of Crimea and meddling in eastern Ukraine made him persona non grata in mainstream Europe and America. Asia saw little value in Russia’s no-growth economy.

These days the Russian leader is on a roll. Without having to backtrack on anything of substance (or territory) in Ukraine, there’s renewed talk of lifting the sanctions imposed in 2014. Putin was always a celebrity, and a source of support, for Europe’s far-right parties, which are themselves on a roll. And now unabashed fans of his in conventional political parties are taking office or rising in the polls.


Soon enough, the West may have its own Putin caucus. Here’s how it’s taking shape:

France

François Fillon’s stunning first-place finish in Sunday’s conservative primary gives this friendliest of French FOPs (Friends of Putin) the inside track to move into the Elysée Palace in June. The former prime minister has called Russia a “crucial partner” for Europe. He wants sanctions over Ukraine lifted and blamed Western powers for having “provoked” Russia by expanding NATO too close to its borders. Fillon also wants Western countries to join a coalition with Russia to combat Islamic State in Syria.

Putin is potentially looking at a win-win in France. Marine Le Pen, the leader of the National Front, who polls say will most probably get through to the second round (and likely against the conservative nominee), is an even more loyal FOP than Fillon. Her National Front party accepted a €9 million loan from a Russian-backed bank in 2014 and she has repeatedly called for lifting sanctions against Russia.


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