Felix Kartte
TBILISI, Georgia — The
EU used to be seen here as a beacon of democracy and prosperity. After the
collapse of the Soviet Union, the prospect of membership fueled reforms all
over the region. The allure of today’s European Union, plagued with crisis,
appears to be waning.
For
most Georgians, Europe is little more than a fantasy that comes to life on the
streets of Tbilisi’s fancy tourist quarter. Just around the corner from swanky
bars and chic boutiques, hardship persists: children scrounge for cigarettes.
Half-finished high-rise buildings, in which whole families live in poverty and
without basic services, are dotted with satellite dishes that mostly broadcast
Russian programs. They deliver a powerful message to Georgian homes: You belong
to us.
Russian is the strongest foreign language spoken in Georgia, with English
coming a distant second. Along with the language, the common Christian Orthodox
faith provides a strong cultural tie with Moscow.
Europe may be a desire here,
but Russia is family, despite painful quarrels.
Russia
has long used culture and religion as a tool of power and influence beyond its
borders. Recently, Georgia has again become the main target of Moscow’s
propaganda. For the most part, it has successfully poked holes into Georgia’s
pro-EU consensus.
Europe’s mistake
About 60 percent of
Georgians still support accession, according to David Aprasidze, a political
science professor at Ilia State University, located on the outskirts of Tbilisi.
Aprasidze was a PhD student in Germany and students chatting outside his office
look like they are in a London hipster café. Many have studied at major
universities in various EU capitals. For these young Georgians, Europe is no
longer a fantasy, but a reality.
“We
know the propaganda, all the talk saying that Europe despises us” — Zura Kobadze, political science student
However,
“many people here are beginning to wonder if Europe is serious about them,”
Aprasidze said. There has been positive impact from Brussels, he explained: The
EU has helped break monopolies in Georgia’s energy sector and has elevated food
safety standards, for example. But these are technical procedures that can’t
win over Georgians’ hearts, Aprasidze said, stressing that it was a mistake
that the European Commission has from the outset excluded Georgia from the
accession process.
The EU
is simply doing too little to keep Georgians on board. “It’s not enough to say:
just become like us, it will do you good,” Aprasidze said.
While
Europe aims to export democracy to the South Caucasus, it is denying Georgia
the prospect of one day joining the European club. Even though changing
governments have been outspoken on their intention to become an EU member, the
country has never been granted candidate status. Moreover, Commission President
Jean-Claude Juncker has ruled out further admissions for the duration of his
term, saying that the EU needs time to accommodate the last group of new
members.
In
addition, EU policymakers are reluctant to get involved in Georgia’s
ongoing tensions with Russia.
Russia’s gain
Eastern Partnership is
what the EU has labeled its half-baked response to Russia’s attempts to lure
its neighbors back into Moscow’s sphere of influence. The program was created
in 2009 and intended to offer reform initiatives for former Soviet states such
as Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine and Belarus, but without any
promise of EU accession talks.
Georgia’s
Westernization once appeared to be a done deal. It was part of former president
Michail Saakaschwili’s plan to force Europe on his country, flying EU flags
outside government buildings while banning pro-Russian voices from the media.
Europe did not reward these efforts and a sense of disappointment settled into
Georgian society. In 2012, the ‘Georgian Dream’ coalition took over the
government, committing to the European path, but also promising to improve ties
with Russia after the 2008 conflict. Media censorship was eased and
anti-European voices filled public space.
This
opened a window of opportunity for Russia: it swiftly forged alliances
with ultra-conservatives, while pouring money into pro-Russian media and NGOs.
Since then, the new alliance seeks to strengthen the message that is already
deeply rooted in Georgian society: Russia is a traditional and natural ally,
while the West is a temple of decadence and a haven for homosexuals.
The EU
does have another carrot for Georgians to keep them waiting at Europe’s gate a
bit longer – lifting visas that would allow them to travel to the Schengen area
as soon as this fall. The Commission has already given its approval, while both
the European Parliament and the Council are still to adopt the decision. Freed
of administrative hurdles, Georgians would thus be able to travel to Europe,
reducing both geographical and psychological distance. Travel businesses and
airlines are ready: from September on, low-cost carriers will start flying from
Kutaisi to destinations such as Berlin and Munich.
Sputnik on line
Still, Aprasidze fears that the EU’s refugee crisis
and recent terror attacks in Paris and Brussels as well as extension of
internal border controls could jeopardize the possibility of visa-free travel
to Europe. “If the EU is to abolish Schengen, there will hardly be visa-free
immigration for Georgians.” This would be grist to the mill of pro-Russian
populists and finally help them turn the mood in Georgia against Europe.
They have been working on it for some time, and on all
fronts. The so-called Eurasian Institute is located in an unpretentious office
building, only minutes away from Aprasidze’s university. The organization is
co-funded by Russian donors, and it has become the backbone of the anti-Europe
lobby. “Visa Freedom – or the European lie?” a recent event was titled. The
organization offers free Russian language courses and its Facebook page has
more than 10,000 followers.
“The political class is
clinging to the West, but the Georgian people no longer agree,” the group’s
website says. Its aim is to alienate ordinary citizens from the political elite
in Tbilisi. The Eurasian Institute cooperates with a wide network of
pro-Russian and conservative organizations. They include Sputnik, Moscow’s
international multimedia service and its preferred propaganda tool since 2014.
Georgian authorities had revoked Sputnik’s broadcasting license, but the outlet
simply shifted its activities to social media.
This approach forms part of Russia’s broader strategy
of restoring Soviet-style power in its former area of influence. In Serbia, for
instance, Russia similarly funds anti-EU organizations and Sputnik is active
there as well. As in Georgia, in Serbia, too, the social climate is
susceptible to Russia’s propaganda as anti-Western sentiments run deep.
“Serbs are not amazed by the EU’s poor management of
the refugee crisis, [and] approval for accession is generally declining,” human
rights lawyer Milan Antonijević said. Meanwhile, anti-gay hate is surging and
ultra-conservatives feel pumped up by the success of right-wing extremist
parties in Germany and France.
Visa liberalization
Contrary to Georgia, Serbia is already in accession
negotiations with the EU, while generally having much stronger political and
economic ties with the continent. A step back towards Russia is thus unlikely
to happen. In a country as vulnerable as Georgia, however, the European deal is
far from sealed.
Just outside the Georgian parliament, located in
an imposing Soviet-era building, a few hundred people gathered on April 9 to
lay down flowers in memory of 20 students who were shot by Russian soldiers
during the 1989 demonstrations for Georgia’s independence.
Over the years, the commemoration has turned into an
annual gathering for the country’s pro-European forces: TV crews take their
positions and politicians give speeches. High above them the communist red star
is still perched the parliament’s roof, as if mocking these European enthusiasts.
“We know the propaganda, all the talk saying that
Europe despises us,” said Zura Kobadze a political science student in his early
twenties. He was there with about two dozen of his peers, all wearing
T-shirts with the EU flag printed on it. “We need Europe in order to change our
own country,” Kobadze said.
Fighting corruption and giving the system an overhaul;
that’s what these students want. They hope to obtain the necessary knowledge in
Europe, this is why they have put all their hope on the EU to lift the visa
requirement. Is Europe worthy of their trust? “Yes, I believe so,”
Kobadze said, but then hesitated. “I want to believe so.”
Felix Kartte is a freelance journalist
based in Brussels.
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