Saturday, November 19, 2016

Week’s balance: economic growth, skyrocketing utility bills, and productive Rada


Ihor Orel


The Ukrainian economy continues to grow, the Verkhovna Rada gave a start to a road reform, PM Groysman vowed to investigate inflated bills for central heating - these are the main economic news of this week.
www.onehourtranslation.com

This week the State Statistics Service reported that the Ukrainian economy continued to grow in the third quarter of 2016. GDP grew by 0.4% compared to the second quarter after a 0.6% rise. In annual terms, Ukraine's GDP accelerated from 1.3% a year earlier to 1.8%. Fitch Ratings has also seen positive trends in the Ukrainian economy, raising the country’s sovereign rating from "CCC" to "B-" , at the same time rating Ukrainian Eurobonds at "B".


The banking sector has stabilized, Fitch states, adding that it is still weak with low capitalization levels and non-performing loans of over 50%, posing a risk to economic stability and constraining economic recovery. The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action, according to Fitch, are: re-emergence of external financing pressures, loss of confidence and increased macroeconomic instability stemming from delays to disbursements from, or the collapse of, the IMF program, as well as external or political/geopolitical shock that weakens macroeconomic performance and Ukraine's fiscal and external position.




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