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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Metamorphoses of American Leadership in the Ukrainian Context


There’s no doubt: without U.S. assistance, Ukraine’s sovereignty would be a memory, reduced to yet another administrative region under Russian control. But just when it seemed American support for Ukraine was an unshakeable constant, Trump has reappeared on the political horizon, stirring the pot. His message? End the war, don’t prolong it.

Trump has floated ideas of ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict within a day—an audacious claim with no timeline specifics. Will peace come on day one of a new term? Or will his approach see Russia’s gains solidified before an inauguration even takes place? Reports suggest a proposed ceasefire, not victory, as the goal. The line of contact could freeze, becoming a permanent demarcation, dividing Ukraine's rightful lands indefinitely. In exchange, Ukraine might promise not to pursue NATO membership for 20 years—a questionable peace at a high cost.

If such an approach manifests, it would reveal a troubling shift in American leadership. The Biden administration, for all its backing of Ukraine, has not gone unscathed in its handling of Putin. Critics argue that while Biden publicly backed Ukraine, he also tiptoed around provoking Putin—restricting Ukraine’s access to high-end military support, unwilling to confront the aggressor with full force.

This balancing act has led some to wonder: did American leadership truly stand up to Russia, or did it merely assist aggression by capping Ukraine’s capacity to defend itself? Biden’s team stopped short of openly suggesting Ukraine give up land for peace, but Trump’s inner circle appears ready to bridge that gap. Trump’s team believes in his decisiveness, yet that decisiveness seems aimed at pressing Ukraine, not confronting the aggressor. They envision a Trump who might bluntly offer Kyiv a choice: surrender the occupied territories or see U.S. support wane.

What kind of “leadership” is this—one that pushes the victim of unprovoked aggression to negotiate its survival? The world watches as America decides which face of its leadership it wants to present: one that staunchly defends sovereignty, or one that nudges a battered nation toward a peace deal it neither wants nor deserves.

Glory to Ukraine!

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